Macro Research

Our first Macro report of the semester is now available! The surge in inflation and the emergence of new geopolitical realities are introducing additional uncertainty into global scenarios. How do these shocks affect macroeconomic trends, and how do they influence policies implemented around the world? In...

The Russia-Ukraine Crisis has been disrupting the world economy over the past three months. Minerva's Macro Research team investigated the matter thoroughly, trying to identify its causes, the European reactions to the war and the likely economic consequences.        ...

Investors have been concerned with rising inflation for a few months now, thus driving long-term interest rates upward. In this report, Minerva’s Macro Research tries to provide a global framework to address whether such concern is justified by a series of economic metrics that underpin inflationary and deflationary cycles, ranging from...

COVID-19 outbreak paved the way for a big wave of uncertainty worldwide. Stock market volatility and plummeting business expectations are just two of its many markers. Here, we focus on a wide set of alternative indexes, ranging from newspaper-based measures to the most recent surveys, aimed...

Yesterday, the price of oil fell to its third lowest level in history. This is happening just days after the previous crash due to OPEC’s oil price war. Why is this happening and what should we expect in this unprecedented scenario? To find out, read Alessandro...